Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 3217.148677 3451.067712 3685.223545 3936.884066 4199.387968 4464.819621 4753.184747
2025-11-09 2802.715590 3154.800248 3517.783331 3918.777843 4348.173268 4793.070439 5287.742322
2025-11-16 2562.483010 2989.626381 3439.614894 3946.583969 4499.473172 5081.899531 5739.557758
2025-11-23 2341.047296 2819.490027 3333.164570 3921.722077 4573.545133 5269.675877 6065.666524
2025-11-30 2214.719783 2740.802190 3314.752917 3981.650017 4729.587138 5537.246229 6470.044268
2025-12-07 2078.936691 2640.747482 3263.096118 3995.774146 4827.087338 5733.875158 6790.647013
2025-12-14 1942.446697 2531.019341 3192.707710 3981.499179 4886.315294 5882.576228 7053.300154
2025-12-21 1788.340501 2392.320291 3081.664670 3913.848869 4878.882947 5951.300981 7221.763399
2025-12-28 1757.018133 2396.304952 3134.029199 4032.736663 5083.018212 6257.793027 7657.421192
2026-01-04 1692.895023 2356.887045 3132.101255 4085.485817 5208.645034 6473.371869 7988.910576
2026-01-11 1609.282051 2289.536243 3093.458841 4091.882419 5277.789829 6622.265073 8242.778793
2026-01-18 1530.174237 2224.069122 3053.953720 4094.450408 5340.099721 6761.456453 8484.099192
2026-01-25 1469.355907 2180.154122 3040.010712 4127.807399 5439.725581 6945.718436 8780.252900
2026-02-01 1386.312054 2104.674765 2984.704506 4108.988022 5475.774174 7054.902375 8989.002507
2026-02-08 1331.770313 2063.456811 2969.815190 4137.660675 5567.215785 7228.014292 9271.572374
2026-02-15 1255.625458 1990.733279 2912.733144 4112.026676 5591.227355 7320.090459 9458.098063
2026-02-22 1223.826729 1975.320089 2926.970681 4173.812650 5720.501597 7536.464375 9790.636442
2026-03-01 1173.296717 1932.579817 2904.566666 4188.373234 5791.067834 7682.216740 10039.408402
2026-03-08 1113.224536 1874.419854 2860.282111 4173.657147 5824.308311 7782.292771 10233.313386
2026-03-15 1033.914942 1786.491560 2774.530990 4103.908615 5787.528532 7796.539700 10323.668259
2026-03-22 1036.052076 1812.711240 2839.047193 4226.475353 5989.990525 8100.230976 10760.728892
2026-03-29 1011.502622 1799.928611 2851.003069 4280.844406 6107.034770 8300.372210 11073.926731
2026-04-05 969.887353 1761.056464 2826.830609 4287.436937 6163.432877 8426.296942 11297.704978